Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.079515 0.088945 0.098581 0.109132 0.120332 0.131840 0.144529
2025-06-01 0.060617 0.074243 0.088880 0.105633 0.124149 0.143865 0.166329
2025-06-08 0.048354 0.064203 0.081975 0.103064 0.127107 0.153396 0.184053
2025-06-15 0.041910 0.059577 0.080103 0.105156 0.134397 0.166991 0.205630
2025-06-22 0.036299 0.055128 0.077746 0.106067 0.139808 0.178043 0.223996
2025-06-29 0.033591 0.053854 0.078855 0.110785 0.149418 0.193729 0.247518
2025-07-06 0.029451 0.050264 0.076731 0.111270 0.153757 0.203110 0.263635
2025-07-13 0.029131 0.051648 0.080804 0.119333 0.167176 0.223148 0.292182
2025-07-20 0.024627 0.046844 0.076567 0.116723 0.167400 0.227409 0.302133
2025-07-27 0.023195 0.046236 0.077723 0.120862 0.175852 0.241451 0.323606
2025-08-03 0.020782 0.043945 0.076440 0.121714 0.180115 0.250384 0.338977
2025-08-10 0.018795 0.042094 0.075609 0.123038 0.184884 0.259875 0.354985
2025-08-17 0.016646 0.039958 0.074494 0.124246 0.189915 0.270227 0.372750
2025-08-24 0.013447 0.035732 0.070158 0.120976 0.189146 0.273465 0.382016
2025-08-31 0.010837 0.032106 0.066407 0.118271 0.188935 0.277272 0.391893
2025-09-07 0.009687 0.030967 0.066296 0.120557 0.195222 0.289186 0.411708
2025-09-14 0.008401 0.029364 0.065337 0.121547 0.199732 0.298830 0.428722
2025-09-21 0.008042 0.029589 0.067253 0.126663 0.209776 0.315525 0.454515
2025-09-28 0.006893 0.027958 0.066060 0.127189 0.213591 0.324264 0.470431
2025-10-05 0.007237 0.029678 0.070424 0.135915 0.228586 0.347375 0.504341
2025-10-12 0.005704 0.026848 0.067048 0.133092 0.227766 0.350141 0.512812
2025-10-19 0.005408 0.026921 0.068569 0.137568 0.236957 0.365829 0.537512
2025-10-26 0.004656 0.025698 0.067768 0.138488 0.241214 0.375122 0.554183